AI in U.S. Federal Contracting: Still Early, Still Fragmented

 


As of 2024, the U.S. federal government’s use of artificial intelligence in contracting remains surprisingly limited. While AI is accelerating across healthcare, marketing, logistics, and mission systems, its application to acquisition and procurement is still in its earliest stages.

 

Federal agencies have focused primarily on making contracting data available to industry, rather than building government‑owned AI tools that improve acquisition workflows. Industry, in turn, is developing AI‑enabled tools and selling them back to government — a curious inversion that highlights the gap between policy ambition and operational reality.


Where Federal AI Efforts Actually Are

Three major federal AI hubs illustrate the current landscape:

AI.gov — the government‑wide inventory of AI use cases

AI.mil — DoD’s mission‑focused AI initiatives

AcquisitionGateway.gov — GSA’s acquisition knowledge base

Across these platforms, the numbers tell a clear story.  Of the 722 entries in the AI.gov database (2023) only 8 were contracting‑oriented AI efforts and 5 were grant‑oriented AI efforts.  This excludes classified work at DARPA, the National Laboratories, and the intelligence community — but even without those, the gap is striking.


The Few Contracting‑Oriented AI Tools That Exist

Two of the most notable examples come from DoD headquarters:

 

DORA and DAGIR

These are AI‑enabled business applications designed to support acquisition professionals.   DORA, for example, automatically checks SAM.gov, FAPIIS, and tax records to flag vendor exclusions or risk indicators. It doesn’t replace a contracting officer, but it does surface issues that warrant deeper review.  These tools are helpful — but they remain exceptions, not the norm.

 

PIEE: The Platform to Watch

The Procurement Integrated Enterprise Environment (PIEE) should be the natural home for contracting‑oriented AI.  Yet as of November 2024, despite the government’s public emphasis on AI, only one PIEE module uses AI and that module is a limited chatbot.  This underscores the slow adoption curve in acquisition support systems.


A Tale of Two Governments

Federal AI adoption splits into two very different worlds:

 

Defense Mission Systems

AI is mature, advanced, and deeply embedded in:

Targeting

Intelligence exploitation

Sensor fusion

Autonomous platforms

 

Civilian Agencies and Contracting Offices

AI use is:

Limited

Fragmented

Often experimental

Rarely operationalized

Contracting‑oriented AI tools are especially scarce.


Why Contracting AI Is Lagging

Several factors contribute to the slow adoption:

Organizational Caution

Rigid hierarchies and risk‑averse cultures slow adoption. AI‑managed processes challenge long‑standing norms.

 

Data Quality and Ownership

AI requires:

Large volumes of clean data

Consistent taxonomies

Clear governance

Agencies are wary of giving third‑party AI vendors access to sensitive procurement data.

 

Political and Budget Uncertainty

Potential mission reductions and resource constraints under the Trump 2025 Administration may further limit investment in mission‑support functions, including contracting.

 

AI Is Not “Install and Forget”

AI systems require:

Continuous tuning

Monitoring

Validation

Governance

This is often underestimated.


Where AI Can Help in Contracting Today

Some parts of the acquisition process are well‑suited for AI:

 

Easy for AI

Compliance checks (Sections I & M)

Responsiveness checks

Cost realism and accuracy (with quality data)

Cross‑document consistency

Risk flagging

 

These tasks are structured, rules‑based, and repeatable.  Contracting for healthcare is an area with strong potential because:

The terminology is specialized

The data is structured

The domain is complex but consistent

AI models can be trained effectively

Hard for AI

Hand‑crafted narrative sections

Terms and Conditions unique to each solicitation

Tailored Work Statements

Instruction‑driven constraints

Evaluating a vendor’s written technical proposal

These require creativity, nuance, and contextual reasoning — areas where current AI still struggles.


Takeaways

AI in mission systems is widespread and relatively mature.

Policy and guidelines for responsible AI are evolving.

AI for contracting applications remains rare and siloed.

Given political circumstances in 2024–2025, significant advances in acquisition‑oriented AI will likely remain slow.

The acquisition community is trained to be risk‑averse.

Contracting and IT have not historically been closely aligned.

ROI for contracting‑focused AI is difficult to quantify.

 

We are still in the early evolution of AI tools that do more than act as supercharged research assistants. AI leaders will do well to remember that software engineering fundamentals still apply:

AI is a tool — at its heart, it is software.

AI cannot compensate for poor processes or poor execution.

Dirty data yields biased outputs.